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Friday, 23 May 2014

Coup d'état or coup de grâce?


This week, I find myself frequenting the comfortable, if slightly worn, environs of Caffe Nero in Epping High Road. This particular High Road has the distinction of being the highest High Road in the whole of Essex. Given the leanings towards two-dimensionality of that particular county, being the highest High Road is perhaps not the most exciting of accomplishments. There is a poster on the wall advertising the imminent arrival, on July 7th, of the Tour de France. Having watched a stage in the sunshine of the Dordogne a few years back and subsequently enjoying the pleasure of spectating on a scorching final day as the riders sprinted up and down the Champs Elysee, the attractions of watching a large peleton of shaven-legged young men rolling through Epping for approximately 30 seconds pales in comparison. One must admire though, the creativity, and the financial acumen, of those responsible for the route of La Tour, if not necessarily their geographical accuracy. Pleasant as the roads of Epping and Loughton are, one struggles to see the connection with France. Still, it has to be admitted that a Tour d'Essex would probably attract a lot less commercial interest...



Since my return from the equitable climes of Thailand, I find myself struggling to cope with the inconsistency of the light and weather here in the UK. Days are longer, which I find agreeable, but the weather does tend to be somewhat capricious. One day it feels like spring has sprung and I find myself bathed in the most gentle and agreeable of lights. On another, like today, the leaden skies cast a day long gloom over the proceedings. This state of affairs has not helped my own re-adjustment to British Summer Time. My body seems to be in a state of revolt against this disruption to the regularity that was Thailand, where day and night were democratically divided, more or less twelve hours being allocated to each. Jet lag, according to those who know about such things, is a more deleterious experience for those travelling from West to East. I would beg to differ. It has been a month now since my return yet I still find myself wide awake at 5 a.m. and feeling like I could happily drop off at 5 p.m..
I have been looking forward to my planned return to Thailand but the Thai military seem to have other ideas. A few days ago, in a move that has been mooted for quite some time, the army declared martial law. At first, they were very insistent that this was not a coup d'etat. Oddly, it certainly looked like one. The military were on the streets and took over several of the governmental buildings in Bangkok. They shut down many of the media outlets, in particular, several of the more political minded TV stations.
For two days they insisted that this was not, in fact, a coup. It might have looked like a coup, walked like a coup, talked like a coup but... it wasn't a coup. Finally, after disbanding the government altogether and imposing severe restrictions on the media and use of the internet, they have declared that it is, after all, a coup.


Thailand's fledgling democracy has suffered many such events in recent years, so many in fact that it almost seems to be part of the political process there. The Thais experience a few years of rather chaotic democracy before the army once again seems to feel the need to 'impose order' once more. The 'order' subsequently imposed doesn't last very long though, and soon the same old, hugely corrupt, politics resume their normal day to day activities. And so the cycle continues.
Military coups, in general, do not seem to have a very good record if one's measure of that record is the well being of the general population of the country involved. In neighbouring Myanmar (Burma of old) , the military have been unable to resist the temptation to grab power and hold onto it for all they're worth. This has resulted in one of the most brutal regimes on the planet and almost omnipresent corruption. Few people have benefited from martial law in Myanmar with the possible exception of the generals themselves whose personal fortunes have increased exponentially. In recent times there have been moves towards opening up the country and allowing some democratic rights but... the temptation to hold on to power when that power is producing such benefits for the generals must be strong indeed. Apart from that, of course, there is always the possibility that with a return to democracy their own misdeeds could be investigated. This possibility would not be something that would appeal to the incumbent leaders..


Some coups do start out with the best of intentions but, as the old aSome coups do start out with the best of intentions but, as the old adage has it, power corrupts, and absolute power corrupts absolutely. Often they are a reaction to the parlous state of a nation when perfidious and inept politicians have wreaked so much damage that the military feel they have little option but to step in to 'save' their country. Problem is though, in many of these cases, the 'cure' often proves to be far worse than the disease. Once they have their hands on the levers of power it becomes increasingly tempting to exercise it in a more and more draconian manner.
One of the first measures taken is often to limit any expression of opposition. Usually this involves shutting down newspapers and radio and TV stations. This process has, rather worryingly, already started in Thailand. Amongst military men, there seems to be a generalized (no pun intended...) fear of plurality. They live in a world where one guy gives the orders and another guy takes them. The idea that someone might actually dare to question what they are saying seems to be anathema to them.
The situation in Thailand is still developing as I write these words. If this turns out to be another example of a typical Thai coup then a return to a more normal state of affairs may not be too long in coming. The worry is though, that the temptations of wielding power and enjoying the benefits that it brings may prove to be strong to resist. Only time will tell.
Back in the cosy confines of Caffe Nero, I feel thankful that, for all its faults, the country I presently find myself in has not suffered a coup for nigh on half a millennia. For all the frustrations of well established democratic systems like those of the UK, they do at least guarantee a goodly amount of plurality and a tolerance for the expression of a wide range of views. As far as Thailand is concerned, this will have to be a case of watch this space (or perhaps other, better informed spaces). My own plan had been to use Thailand as a base for flaneurial activities throughout SE Asia and beyond, but it seems that, for now at least, those plans may have to be put on hold.





Another short addendum is called for. After penning the above article it emerged that Gen Prayuth Chan-Ocha has declared himself Prime Minister - the result of a general election it seems, in this case the general elected himself. Over the course of four days we have gone from the imposition of martial law but not a coup, to a coup, and now to a General appointing himself Prime Minister. These are challenging times for Thailand. One hopes that the transition back to civilian rule is short and peaceful but...the omens are not good.






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